Model Details
Type: Drive Outcome v2
Hash: e031946a954b08d29669fcfd5fcf0dad
Created: 2026-01-18 20:08:35
Seasons:
Status: Active
Path: /home/azureuser/nfl-sim/data_cache/models/drive_outcome_v2
Jobs using this model: 0
Model Features (Priority Order)
1. Team Strength
Latent week-to-week offense/defense
2. Injury & Lineup
QB effects & player availability
3. Game Script
Win probability & time effects
4. Red-Zone
Field position modeling
5. Market Calibration
Market blending (post-processing)
Features are implemented in priority order. Team strength is the foundation; all other features build on top.
Metrics
{'iteration': None,
'score_auc': 0.6169923518296299,
'score_ece': 0.09681585725609747,
'td_auc': 0.6940107770198772,
'timestamp': '2026-01-18T20:08:35.519801',
'top_decile_lift': 1.424825174825175}
Activation History
| Timestamp | Action | Previous Model | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 20:08:35 | Activated | ae41b069f5cbb9d9d12127367c716717 | ā |
Recent Jobs
No jobs have used this model yet.