Model Details
Type: Drive Outcome v2
Hash: ae41b069f5cbb9d9d12127367c716717
Created: 2026-01-18 17:06:03
Seasons:
Status: Inactive
Path: /home/azureuser/nfl-sim/data_cache/models/drive_outcome_v2
Jobs using this model: 0
Model Features (Priority Order)
1. Team Strength
Latent week-to-week offense/defense
2. Injury & Lineup
QB effects & player availability
3. Game Script
Win probability & time effects
4. Red-Zone
Field position modeling
5. Market Calibration
Market blending (post-processing)
Features are implemented in priority order. Team strength is the foundation; all other features build on top.
Metrics
{'iteration': None,
'score_auc': 0.6168578709259183,
'score_ece': 0.11976147753297947,
'td_auc': 0.6940107770198772,
'timestamp': '2026-01-18T17:06:03.310565',
'top_decile_lift': 1.4291958041958042}
Activation History
| Timestamp | Action | Previous Model | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 17:06:03 | Activated | b4f3bcc5f7aee235b10d24fd7e84bed1 | ā |
Recent Jobs
No jobs have used this model yet.