Model Details

Type: Drive Outcome v2

Hash: b4f3bcc5f7aee235b10d24fd7e84bed1

Created: 2026-01-18 16:45:00

Seasons:

Status: Inactive

Path: /home/azureuser/nfl-sim/data_cache/models/drive_outcome_v2

Jobs using this model: 0

Model Features (Priority Order)

1. Team Strength

Latent week-to-week offense/defense

2. Injury & Lineup

QB effects & player availability

3. Game Script

Win probability & time effects

4. Red-Zone

Field position modeling

5. Market Calibration

Market blending (post-processing)

Features are implemented in priority order. Team strength is the foundation; all other features build on top.

Metrics

{'iteration': None,
 'score_auc': 0.6158787177648124,
 'score_ece': 0.10439029676444427,
 'td_auc': 0.6940107770198772,
 'timestamp': '2026-01-18T16:45:00.656840',
 'top_decile_lift': 1.4423076923076923}

Activation History

Timestamp Action Previous Model Notes
2026-01-18 16:45:00 Activated 571643536164285006a995022956ce7c —

Recent Jobs

No jobs have used this model yet.

Back to Registry