Model Details
Type: Drive Outcome v2
Hash: f4c75301b502e166eac2596800dd7d8f
Created: 2026-01-18 16:24:24
Seasons:
Status: Inactive
Path: /home/azureuser/nfl-sim/data_cache/models/drive_outcome_v2
Jobs using this model: 0
Model Features (Priority Order)
1. Team Strength
Latent week-to-week offense/defense
2. Injury & Lineup
QB effects & player availability
3. Game Script
Win probability & time effects
4. Red-Zone
Field position modeling
5. Market Calibration
Market blending (post-processing)
Features are implemented in priority order. Team strength is the foundation; all other features build on top.
Metrics
{'iteration': None,
'score_auc': 0.6123889670487305,
'score_ece': 0.11738928506277532,
'td_auc': 0.6940107770198772,
'timestamp': '2026-01-18T16:24:24.376428',
'top_decile_lift': 1.507867132867133}
Activation History
| Timestamp | Action | Previous Model | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 16:24:24 | Activated | e16beeb198e07966 | ā |
Recent Jobs
No jobs have used this model yet.